This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight card at Kansas on ESPN+. DraftKings has some strong contests considering this is a free card and I look forward to pursuing the GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I won my very first chair into it a few weeks back and I will attempt to get my 2nd chair this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k decoration, and then I will likely take a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of drama into cash games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Yana Kunitskaya — $8,900
There really aren’t any cash game locks this week for me personally but I moved with Yana because I fully expect this fight to go all 3 rounds so I like the floor she brings to the table. In addition, I think she wins the fight and I believe she will be the fighter heading for takedowns. I don’t know how high her ceiling is in money games it doesn’t really matter too much since we don’t have to hit 1st place in a double-up. I’d anticipate about 10x from Yana in a decision win and I will take that day in my cash games.
GPP play of the week — Louis Smolka — $8,300
Smolka fights often score highly as there are a great deal of scrambles and the grappling improvements really add up. I anticipate this is a very fun fight, but it ought to be Smolka that is the one going for the takedowns. I’m always trying to find a minimum of 10x in my fighters and also at $8.3k I would be shocked if Smolka didn’t get that with a triumph. The lowest he’s ever scored in a win is 99 DK points and he has even scored 162 vs Nguyen and he’s got a 61-point loss to Elliott that is more DK points than Schnell’s win over Beltran. I adore Smolka as a GPP drama here and if he wins I would anticipate near 100 DK points.
Underdog drama of the week — Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos — $8,000
To get a struggle I hope to remain standing, I’ve quite a lot of interest in this fight. I think it will be an action-packed struggle and I think someone gets pumped out. This is also the mid-range struggle of this week, so that I feel a KO from guy would have a good opportunity to set them on the perfect lineup. I like it even more because I’m choosing the underdog to get the knockout and that I expect Millender to be the greater owned fighter. I will have this struggle in over half my lineups, but I shall most likely have at least twice the possession on dos Santos over Millender. I believe it is a much better GPP fight than it’s for cash games, but I think dos Santos is currently in play for money since he is an underdog and I have him winning. I don’t feel confident in many underdogs this week, however I will have a good amount of exposure to dos Santos.
Fade of the week — Anthony Rocco Martin ($9,200)
At $9.2K. Martin will require a finish at the salary and I really don’t see that happening. If he wins a clear 30-27 decision, he then probably scores mid 70’s and at his price tag which will not win anyone a GPP. I don’t think he moves for takedowns in this matchup and I believe he utilizes his wrestling to keep the fight standing. Even if he does move for takedowns then I do not see him filing Moraes. So, it has to be a KO out of him to cover off that salary and I am not willing to take that risk with my cash. That is why he’s my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
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